Forex trading strategies tested in 2026
Backtoast tested these forex strategies on the same test. The highest yearly return was +2.3%, on G10 carry, top 3 vs bottom 3 (Deutsche Bank G10 Currency Harvest), and it still failed. A higher return is not a pass. You pay $99 for two full tests of your own strategy, and a pass is an offer of 30% of the profit Backtoast makes trading it with its own money.
| Strategy | Trades | A year | Test |
|---|---|---|---|
| G10 carry, top 3 vs bottom 3 (Deutsche Bank G10 Currency Harvest) | 21 | +2.3% | Failed |
| Dollar carry trade | 10 | +1.5% | Failed |
| FOMC-day carry | 126 | +0.1% | Failed |
| Moving-average crossover (5/20 days) | 338 | +0.0% | Failed |
| Kathy Lien's inside-day breakout | 53 | -2.6% | Failed |
| Turtle System 1 | 125 | -3.8% | Failed |
| Filter rule (x% from the last peak or trough) | 395 | -3.9% | Failed |
| Local-hours depreciation, EUR/USD | 2595 | -5.6% | Failed |
| Cross-sectional currency momentum | 167 | -7.5% | Failed |
| 3-candle reversal (BestForexMethod) | 5506 | -13.4% | Failed |
| Time-series momentum (trend) | 303 | -13.9% | Failed |
| Currency value (5-year PPP change) | 36 | -15.2% | Failed |
| FX fix reversal | 14286 | -100.0% | Failed |
Backtoast
You pay $99 for two full tests of your own strategy, and a pass is an offer of 30% of the profit Backtoast makes trading it with its own money. You can still trade the strategy yourself.
The runs are Backtoast's, from 29 October 2026, after costs. Starting from scratch is forex trading for beginners.
99% of trading strategies fail. Test yours.
$99 for two full tests. If one passes, we offer you 30% of the profit we make trading it.
Run the test