Stock trading strategies tested in 2026
Backtoast tested these stock strategies on the same test. The highest yearly return was +11.0%, on a volatility-managed position in SPY, and it still failed. A higher return is not a pass. You pay $99 for two full tests of your own strategy, and a pass is an offer of 30% of the profit Backtoast makes trading it with its own money.
| Strategy | Trades | A year | Test |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volatility-managed market exposure | 60 | +11.0% | Failed |
| Antonacci Global Equities Momentum (Dual Momentum) | 10 | +9.3% | Failed |
| Faber 10-month moving average (GTAA) | 25 | +4.4% | Failed |
| Connors RSI(2) | 47 | +4.3% | Failed |
| Turn of the month | 60 | +2.1% | Failed |
| Post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) | 18803 | +0.4% | Failed |
| Larry Williams "Oops!" gap reversal | 59 | -0.3% | Failed |
| George-Hwang 52-week-high momentum | 41108 | -3.7% | Failed |
| Jegadeesh-Titman momentum (cross-sectional) | 10238 | -5.1% | Failed |
| Market intraday momentum (first half-hour predicts last half-hour) | 1252 | -9.4% | Failed |
| Opening range breakout on Stocks in Play | 1936 | -92.5% | Failed |
| Pairs trading, distance method | – | – | Not run |
Backtoast
You pay $99 for two full tests of your own strategy, and a pass is an offer of 30% of the profit Backtoast makes trading it with its own money. You can still trade the strategy yourself.
The runs are Backtoast's, from 29 October 2026, after costs. The two stock day trades are on day trading stocks.
99% of trading strategies fail. Test yours.
$99 for two full tests. If one passes, we offer you 30% of the profit we make trading it.
Run the test