Bitcoin one minute moving average

Checked October 2026

The one-minute rule is long bitcoin when price is more than 1% above its 50-minute average, and short when price is more than 1% below it. Corbet, Eraslan, Lucey and Sensoy compared minute-by-minute averages in Finance Research Letters in 2019. Backtoast ran that 1% band. That version failed our test, losing 90% a year over 4,735 trades.

Backtoast

You pay $99 for two full tests of your own strategy, and a pass is an offer of 30% of the profit Backtoast makes trading it with its own money.

Bitcoin one minute moving average

Inside the 1% band the rule is flat. It checks every minute's close against the 50-minute average, so it can flip in and out many times a day, and every trade pays the spread and fees.

The paper compared average returns in buy minutes and sell minutes and never traded them. This run is the position those minutes imply, filled at the next minute's open.

The daily version is bitcoin moving average.

When it works

Minute-bar trend rules make money in fast, one-way moves, when bitcoin breaks out and keeps going, and lose in quiet chop, when price crosses the band and comes back. Traders use them to get into an intraday breakout within minutes, but the edge the paper measured was about a tenth of a percent a minute before fees, so costs decide the result. A wider band or a slower average that trades less often is the variant worth trying, and a draft can test that before you spend a full test.

Origins

Corbet, Eraslan, Lucey and Sensoy used Bitfinex minute data from January 2014 to June 2018. Under this rule the average buy minute returned +0.1087% and the average sell minute −0.1167%, before any fees. The run used Binance's BTCUSDT from late 2021 to September 2026.

The run is Backtoast's, from 29 October 2026, after costs.